Upper San Gabriel Valley Municipal Water District
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El Niño coming to Southern California, but can it take out the drought?


National climatologists are sticking to their prediction that an El Niño is about 80 percent probable in North America during fall and early winter, when the rainy season begins in Southern California, according to a bulletin released Thursday.

However, they predict the El Niño will be “weak-to-moderate” strength, meaning it won’t pack the punch of previous monster El Niños that brought above-average rainfall amounts and even flooding to California, Mexico, Central and South America in the past.

Last month, climatologist Bill Patzert of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory near Pasadena went a step further, saying the forecasted El Niño event is dying out and predicted it would not be enough to break the drought that has a stranglehold on 99 percent of California and has left Los Angeles with record low rainfall years.

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